Title : Yemen - a Long Way to Go
link : Yemen - a Long Way to Go
Yemen - a Long Way to Go
ACLED continues to be an exceptional source for data-nuts when it comes to areas of conflict in the world.Their recent Yemen numbers - combined with the ongoing talk about what is very much a nasty civil war - needs to be put in some context.
#YemenWar Death Toll Exceeds 90,000 According to New ACLED Data for 2015: https://t.co/GluwkQWLSZ #Yemen pic.twitter.com/11Tv9O1sVQ— Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (@ACLEDINFO) July 15, 2019
Civil Wars are a nasty bit of business and I don't want to diminish 90,000 lost souls, but there needs to be a note of caution for those who think - or hope - that this is close to burning itself out.
In 2016, Yemen had a population of ~28 million. 90,000 is 0.3% of the population.
In 1860, the USA had a population of 31.4 million. 0.3% would be 94,200.
Estimates vary, but sources say between 600,000 and 1-million total deaths North and South in the war. Let's use a nice round compromise of 750,000 dead.
750,000 would be 2.4%.
For Yemen to exhaust itself to the same degree as the USA did in its civil war, 672,000 will need to die.
No, odds are, the killing is a long way from being over.
Another datapoint. By 2016, the UN estimated that 400,000 were killed in the Syrian Civil War. That is about 1.7% of the 2012 population of 22,500,000.
As I said - in Yemen, there is a lot more killing to be done.
Thus Article Yemen - a Long Way to Go
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